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Red127
403953.6
765919.6
111447.9
Blue85
909829.6
406930.3
720016.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137715010015020012785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.2
53.253.3
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End10.8
red by 23.3
30.30.2
29.830.0
Auto8.8
Teleop15.8
End5.7
Second
47.90.2
47.447.6
Auto12.9
Teleop25.7
End9.3
red by 18.2
29.60.2
29.129.3
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End6.3
Third
7659
#18
19.60.2
19.119.3
Auto7.2
Teleop7.5
End4.9
red by 3.1
7200
#20
16.50.2
16.016.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End3.7