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Red125
220053.8
808140.7
888429.7
Blue124
497649.6
130540.5
77114.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14010350150200125124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.1
54.654.4
Auto16.1
Teleop28.9
End8.5
red by 4.2
49.60.5
51.051.5
Auto13.8
Teleop27.1
End8.4
Second
8081
#19
40.70.1
42.442.2
Auto12.8
Teleop22.4
End5.6
red by 0.2
1305
#21
40.50.5
42.042.5
Auto12.4
Teleop20.1
End8.0
Third
8884
#28
29.70.1
29.929.8
Auto10.1
Teleop12.7
End6.7
red by 15.1
771
#29
14.60.5
8.28.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned