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Red117
503230.2
316148.1
540653.3
Blue149
540944.6
368364.2
583429.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381456080100120160180200220117149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.31.2
53.352.1
Auto14.4
Teleop31.2
End7.2
blue by 10.9
64.20.9
67.568.4
Auto15.2
Teleop39.8
End8.5
Second
3161
#30
48.11.2
46.044.8
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End7.2
red by 3.5
5409
#11
44.60.9
47.948.8
Auto12.8
Teleop24.4
End7.3
Third
5032
#40
30.21.2
31.230.0
Auto5.9
Teleop16.8
End7.6
red by 1.1
5834
#26
29.10.9
20.020.9
Auto10.6
Teleop12.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsEarned84%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsEarned