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Red98
834923.8
77233.9
713634.9
Blue166
205683.7
285230.8
495117.4
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7813805010015020098166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7136
#24
34.91.2
29.530.7
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End9.1
blue by 48.7
83.72.0
82.284.2
Auto20.2
Teleop54.3
End7.8
Second
772
#31
33.91.2
29.330.5
Auto9.3
Teleop17.4
End7.3
red by 3.2
2852
#32
30.82.0
25.227.1
Auto12.9
Teleop12.5
End5.5
Third
8349
#37
23.81.2
21.322.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.7
End6.9
red by 6.4
4951
#33
17.42.0
14.116.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsMissed72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned