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Red146
906221.2
205683.7
270242.5
Blue181
748039.4
447654.9
316148.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16113350100150200250146181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.70.4
84.283.7
Auto20.2
Teleop54.3
End7.8
red by 28.7
54.92.1
49.952.0
Auto15.0
Teleop29.5
End9.7
Second
2702
#20
42.50.4
39.138.7
Auto15.4
Teleop21.2
End5.5
blue by 5.6
3161
#30
48.12.1
44.846.8
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End7.2
Third
9062
#36
21.20.4
24.223.8
Auto6.0
Teleop8.8
End6.4
blue by 18.2
7480
#17
39.42.1
33.335.4
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned