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Red98
571931.9
285230.8
415240.1
Blue128
124158.6
137423.1
540944.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9613505015020098128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#18
40.10.2
41.641.8
Auto13.2
Teleop20.2
End6.3
blue by 18.6
58.60.1
51.251.3
Auto14.7
Teleop33.7
End9.3
Second
5719
#23
31.90.2
26.226.4
Auto9.0
Teleop15.9
End7.0
blue by 12.7
5409
#11
44.60.1
48.848.9
Auto12.8
Teleop24.4
End7.3
Third
2852
#32
30.80.2
27.127.4
Auto12.9
Teleop12.5
End5.5
red by 7.6
1374
#25
23.10.1
21.521.6
Auto7.8
Teleop8.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned