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Red101
771237.7
77114.6
503230.2
Blue99
136031.5
909845.9
808925.0
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7011105010015020010199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7712
#13
37.71.3
32.333.7
Auto10.1
Teleop22.7
End4.5
blue by 8.2
9098
#12
45.90.3
45.745.4
Auto11.3
Teleop26.7
End8.1
Second
5032
#40
30.21.3
30.031.3
Auto5.9
Teleop16.8
End7.6
blue by 1.4
1360
#35
31.50.3
23.923.6
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End8.4
Third
771
#29
14.61.3
8.710.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.8
End4.7
blue by 10.4
8089
#38
25.00.3
29.329.0
Auto10.6
Teleop7.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned