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Red117
78138.2
906221.2
540944.6
Blue108
614034.1
765926.3
270242.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008920406080120140160180117108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5409
#11
44.61.7
43.845.4
Auto12.8
Teleop24.4
End7.3
red by 2.1
2702
#20
42.51.6
34.435.9
Auto15.4
Teleop21.2
End5.5
Second
781
#10
38.21.7
27.829.4
Auto11.8
Teleop19.0
End7.3
red by 4.1
6140
#22
34.11.6
27.729.3
Auto9.1
Teleop18.9
End6.1
Third
9062
#36
21.21.7
20.522.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.8
End6.4
blue by 5.1
7659
#39
26.31.6
22.624.2
Auto7.9
Teleop13.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed