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Red94
503132.1
503230.2
136031.5
Blue131
415240.1
834923.8
540653.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8513505010015020094131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#15
32.10.6
25.526.0
Auto9.7
Teleop14.5
End7.9
blue by 21.2
53.30.4
52.953.3
Auto14.4
Teleop31.2
End7.2
Second
1360
#35
31.50.6
29.029.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End8.4
blue by 8.5
4152
#18
40.10.4
45.045.4
Auto13.2
Teleop20.2
End6.3
Third
5032
#40
30.20.6
31.331.8
Auto5.9
Teleop16.8
End7.6
red by 6.4
8349
#37
23.80.4
22.122.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned