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Red143
888429.7
540653.3
909845.9
Blue171
713634.9
497649.6
205683.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12818150100150200250300143171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.7
52.152.8
Auto14.4
Teleop31.2
End7.2
blue by 30.4
83.70.5
84.585.0
Auto20.2
Teleop54.3
End7.8
Second
9098
#12
45.90.7
46.447.1
Auto11.3
Teleop26.7
End8.1
blue by 3.7
49.60.5
50.350.9
Auto13.8
Teleop27.1
End8.4
Third
8884
#28
29.70.7
28.429.1
Auto10.1
Teleop12.7
End6.7
blue by 5.2
7136
#24
34.90.5
32.633.2
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned