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Red118
136031.5
316148.1
755851.4
Blue138
571931.9
834923.8
447654.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137109050150200250118138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.41.1
53.252.1
Auto12.8
Teleop30.4
End7.4
blue by 3.5
54.91.8
51.553.3
Auto15.0
Teleop29.5
End9.7
Second
3161
#30
48.11.1
47.346.2
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End7.2
red by 16.2
5719
#23
31.91.8
28.830.6
Auto9.0
Teleop15.9
End7.0
Third
1360
#35
31.51.1
24.323.2
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End8.4
red by 7.7
8349
#37
23.81.8
25.727.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned