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Red118
697837.7
614034.1
137423.1
Blue115
808140.7
77233.9
503230.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105112050150200250300118115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.2
39.940.1
Auto10.8
Teleop19.3
End7.8
blue by 2.9
8081
#19
40.70.7
40.941.7
Auto12.8
Teleop22.4
End5.6
Second
6140
#22
34.10.2
35.535.7
Auto9.1
Teleop18.9
End6.1
red by 0.2
772
#31
33.90.7
32.032.7
Auto9.3
Teleop17.4
End7.3
Third
1374
#25
23.10.2
24.124.3
Auto7.8
Teleop8.4
End6.9
blue by 7.1
5032
#40
30.20.7
31.231.9
Auto5.9
Teleop16.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned