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Red80
130540.5
430824.0
906221.2
Blue99
285230.8
503132.1
78138.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92113501502008099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#21
40.50.6
42.441.8
Auto12.4
Teleop20.1
End8.0
red by 2.3
781
#10
38.20.6
39.038.4
Auto11.8
Teleop19.0
End7.3
Second
4308
#27
24.00.6
24.624.0
Auto7.8
Teleop8.4
End7.9
blue by 8.1
5031
#15
32.10.6
32.732.1
Auto9.7
Teleop14.5
End7.9
Third
9062
#36
21.20.6
21.721.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.8
End6.4
blue by 9.6
2852
#32
30.80.6
31.430.8
Auto12.9
Teleop12.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsMissed