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Red114
495117.4
583429.1
499229.6
Blue162
270242.5
124158.6
771237.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601460100200250114162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4992
#16
29.62.8
26.429.2
Auto8.8
Teleop13.3
End7.7
blue by 29.1
58.62.4
56.659.0
Auto14.7
Teleop33.7
End9.3
Second
5834
#26
29.12.8
26.329.1
Auto10.6
Teleop12.9
End5.5
blue by 13.4
2702
#20
42.52.4
38.941.3
Auto15.4
Teleop21.2
End5.5
Third
4951
#33
17.42.8
14.617.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.1
End5.1
blue by 20.3
7712
#13
37.72.4
35.337.7
Auto10.1
Teleop22.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned60%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned