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Red120
415240.1
808925.0
77114.6
Blue109
713634.9
136031.5
263441.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87102204060120140160180120109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#18
40.11.8
43.645.4
Auto13.2
Teleop20.2
End6.3
blue by 1.8
2634
#14
41.90.7
37.438.0
Auto6.2
Teleop27.0
End8.6
Second
8089
#38
25.01.8
26.628.3
Auto10.6
Teleop7.0
End7.4
blue by 9.9
7136
#24
34.90.7
33.233.9
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End9.1
Third
771
#29
14.61.8
13.215.0
Auto5.3
Teleop4.8
End4.7
blue by 16.9
1360
#35
31.50.7
23.223.9
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned