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Red148
497649.6
909845.9
748039.4
Blue143
765926.3
540653.3
571931.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151111100200148143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.4
50.951.3
Auto13.8
Teleop27.1
End8.4
blue by 3.7
53.31.9
52.854.7
Auto14.4
Teleop31.2
End7.2
Second
9098
#12
45.90.4
47.147.5
Auto11.3
Teleop26.7
End8.1
red by 14.0
5719
#23
31.91.9
30.632.5
Auto9.0
Teleop15.9
End7.0
Third
7480
#17
39.40.4
39.039.4
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End8.3
red by 13.1
7659
#39
26.31.9
26.128.0
Auto7.9
Teleop13.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned81%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned