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Red71
495117.4
503132.1
834923.8
Blue127
78138.2
263441.9
583429.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7111305010015020071127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#15
32.10.0
30.830.7
Auto9.7
Teleop14.5
End7.9
blue by 9.8
2634
#14
41.91.4
38.039.5
Auto6.2
Teleop27.0
End8.6
Second
8349
#37
23.80.0
27.527.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.7
End6.9
blue by 14.4
781
#10
38.21.4
37.038.5
Auto11.8
Teleop19.0
End7.3
Third
4951
#33
17.40.0
13.313.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.1
End5.1
blue by 11.7
5834
#26
29.11.4
25.326.8
Auto10.6
Teleop12.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned