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Red158
540653.3
697837.7
497649.6
Blue107
415240.1
270242.5
447654.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15813850100200250158107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.3
54.754.4
Auto14.4
Teleop31.2
End7.2
blue by 1.6
54.91.7
53.351.6
Auto15.0
Teleop29.5
End9.7
Second
49.60.3
51.351.0
Auto13.8
Teleop27.1
End8.4
red by 7.1
2702
#20
42.51.7
36.935.3
Auto15.4
Teleop21.2
End5.5
Third
37.70.3
40.139.8
Auto10.8
Teleop19.3
End7.8
blue by 2.3
4152
#18
40.11.7
45.443.7
Auto13.2
Teleop20.2
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned