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Red137
124158.6
499229.6
285230.8
Blue114
909845.9
503230.2
78138.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11512250100150200137114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.61.9
54.756.6
Auto14.7
Teleop33.7
End9.3
red by 12.7
9098
#12
45.90.0
44.744.7
Auto11.3
Teleop26.7
End8.1
Second
2852
#32
30.81.9
29.531.4
Auto12.9
Teleop12.5
End5.5
blue by 7.4
781
#10
38.20.0
39.039.0
Auto11.8
Teleop19.0
End7.3
Third
4992
#16
29.61.9
24.626.4
Auto8.8
Teleop13.3
End7.7
blue by 0.6
5032
#40
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto5.9
Teleop16.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned