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Red102
583429.1
906221.2
77233.9
Blue132
136031.5
571931.9
888429.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8489050150200250300350400102132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#31
33.90.8
33.133.9
Auto9.3
Teleop17.4
End7.3
red by 2.0
5719
#23
31.93.3
29.032.2
Auto9.0
Teleop15.9
End7.0
Second
5834
#26
29.10.8
25.526.3
Auto10.6
Teleop12.9
End5.5
blue by 2.4
1360
#35
31.53.3
26.429.7
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End8.4
Third
9062
#36
21.20.8
20.921.7
Auto6.0
Teleop8.8
End6.4
blue by 8.6
8884
#28
29.73.3
27.530.8
Auto10.1
Teleop12.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned