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Red99
540653.3
497649.6
888429.7
Blue112
130540.5
540944.6
697837.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14413510012016018020099112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.9
54.253.3
Auto14.4
Teleop31.2
End7.2
red by 8.8
5409
#11
44.60.6
46.245.6
Auto12.8
Teleop24.4
End7.3
Second
49.60.9
50.549.6
Auto13.8
Teleop27.1
End8.4
red by 9.1
1305
#21
40.50.6
42.141.5
Auto12.4
Teleop20.1
End8.0
Third
8884
#28
29.70.9
30.629.7
Auto10.1
Teleop12.7
End6.7
blue by 8.0
37.70.6
39.438.8
Auto10.8
Teleop19.3
End7.8