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Red135
571931.9
755851.4
124158.6
Blue164
220053.8
205683.7
499229.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14318350100200250135164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.60.1
58.758.6
Auto14.7
Teleop33.7
End9.3
blue by 25.0
83.70.1
83.483.4
Auto20.2
Teleop54.3
End7.8
Second
51.40.1
51.551.4
Auto12.8
Teleop30.4
End7.4
blue by 2.4
53.80.1
53.653.5
Auto16.1
Teleop28.9
End8.5
Third
5719
#23
31.90.1
32.031.9
Auto9.0
Teleop15.9
End7.0
red by 2.3
4992
#16
29.60.1
29.329.3
Auto8.8
Teleop13.3
End7.7