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Red159
909845.9
270242.5
316148.1
Blue175
220053.8
205683.7
499229.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13818450100150200250159175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#30
48.10.4
47.748.1
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End7.2
blue by 35.6
83.70.0
83.883.8
Auto20.2
Teleop54.3
End7.8
Second
9098
#12
45.90.4
45.545.9
Auto11.3
Teleop26.7
End8.1
blue by 7.9
53.80.0
53.954.0
Auto16.1
Teleop28.9
End8.5
Third
2702
#20
42.50.4
42.142.5
Auto15.4
Teleop21.2
End5.5
red by 12.9
4992
#16
29.60.0
29.729.7
Auto8.8
Teleop13.3
End7.7