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Red148
447654.9
368364.2
136031.5
Blue150
220053.8
205683.7
499229.6
30%Model gave it70%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15418250100200250300148150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.0
63.963.9
Auto15.2
Teleop39.8
End8.5
blue by 19.4
83.70.5
83.883.3
Auto20.2
Teleop54.3
End7.8
Second
54.90.0
54.554.5
Auto15.0
Teleop29.5
End9.7
red by 1.1
53.80.5
54.053.5
Auto16.1
Teleop28.9
End8.5
Third
1360
#35
31.50.0
31.231.2
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End8.4
red by 2.0
4992
#16
29.60.5
29.729.2
Auto8.8
Teleop13.3
End7.7