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Red155
499229.6
205683.7
220053.8
Blue167
316148.1
270242.5
909845.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183135100150200250155167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.70.2
83.383.1
Auto20.2
Teleop54.3
End7.8
red by 35.6
3161
#30
48.10.6
46.947.6
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End7.2
Second
53.80.2
53.553.2
Auto16.1
Teleop28.9
End8.5
red by 7.9
9098
#12
45.90.6
44.745.4
Auto11.3
Teleop26.7
End8.1
Third
4992
#16
29.60.2
29.229.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.3
End7.7
blue by 12.9
2702
#20
42.50.6
41.341.9
Auto15.4
Teleop21.2
End5.5