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Red135
888429.7
497649.6
540653.3
Blue114
748039.4
78138.2
415240.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471236080100160180200220135114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.0
54.454.4
Auto14.4
Teleop31.2
End7.2
red by 13.3
4152
#18
40.10.1
40.340.2
Auto13.2
Teleop20.2
End6.3
Second
49.60.0
50.750.7
Auto13.8
Teleop27.1
End8.4
red by 10.2
7480
#17
39.40.1
39.639.5
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End8.3
Third
8884
#28
29.70.0
30.830.8
Auto10.1
Teleop12.7
End6.7
blue by 8.4
781
#10
38.20.1
38.438.3
Auto11.8
Teleop19.0
End7.3