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Red191
499229.6
205683.7
220053.8
Blue117
748039.4
78138.2
415240.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18511750100150200250191117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.70.3
83.183.4
Auto20.2
Teleop54.3
End7.8
red by 43.6
4152
#18
40.10.1
40.240.1
Auto13.2
Teleop20.2
End6.3
Second
53.80.3
53.253.6
Auto16.1
Teleop28.9
End8.5
red by 14.4
7480
#17
39.40.1
39.539.4
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End8.3
Third
4992
#16
29.60.3
29.029.3
Auto8.8
Teleop13.3
End7.7
blue by 8.6
781
#10
38.20.1
38.338.2
Auto11.8
Teleop19.0
End7.3