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Red168
447654.9
368364.2
136031.5
Blue110
124158.6
755851.4
571931.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15615080100120140180200220168110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.5
63.063.5
Auto15.2
Teleop39.8
End8.5
red by 5.6
58.60.8
59.558.7
Auto14.7
Teleop33.7
End9.3
Second
54.90.5
53.754.2
Auto15.0
Teleop29.5
End9.7
red by 3.5
51.40.8
52.351.5
Auto12.8
Teleop30.4
End7.4
Third
1360
#35
31.50.5
30.330.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End8.4
blue by 0.4
5719
#23
31.90.8
32.832.0
Auto9.0
Teleop15.9
End7.0