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Red174
494661.4
872931.3
467871.9
Blue162
132567.1
490355.6
373936.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170167140150160180190200210174162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.90.3
71.671.9
Auto19.4
Teleop43.3
End7.3
red by 4.9
67.10.1
66.967.1
Auto16.7
Teleop39.4
End9.6
Second
61.40.3
61.061.4
Auto15.5
Teleop35.8
End8.8
red by 5.7
55.60.1
55.555.6
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End7.7
Third
8729
#25
31.30.3
31.031.3
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End8.9
blue by 5.0
3739
#38
36.30.1
36.236.3
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.7