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Red179
494661.4
872931.3
467871.9
Blue174
132567.1
490355.6
373936.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169167150160180190179174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.91.8
69.871.6
Auto19.4
Teleop43.3
End7.3
red by 4.9
67.10.2
66.866.9
Auto16.7
Teleop39.4
End9.6
Second
61.41.8
59.361.0
Auto15.5
Teleop35.8
End8.8
red by 5.7
55.60.2
55.455.5
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End7.7
Third
8729
#25
31.31.8
29.231.0
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End8.9
blue by 5.0
3739
#38
36.30.2
36.036.2
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.7