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Red109
406951.1
490763.8
133429.1
Blue180
132567.1
490355.6
373936.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1551670100200300400500109180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.81.0
64.863.8
Auto15.7
Teleop38.1
End9.2
blue by 3.2
67.10.4
66.366.8
Auto16.7
Teleop39.4
End9.6
Second
51.11.0
52.051.1
Auto14.5
Teleop28.5
End8.2
blue by 4.5
55.60.4
54.955.4
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End7.7
Third
1334
#20
29.11.0
30.129.1
Auto8.3
Teleop12.4
End8.6
blue by 7.2
3739
#38
36.30.4
35.636.0
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.7