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Red188
373936.3
490355.6
132567.1
Blue162
403960.1
260950.2
491743.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164158120140180200188162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.10.7
65.766.3
Auto16.7
Teleop39.4
End9.6
red by 7.0
60.10.3
59.860.1
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End7.2
Second
55.60.7
54.254.9
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End7.7
red by 5.5
2609
#14
50.20.3
49.950.2
Auto13.1
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Third
3739
#38
36.30.7
34.935.6
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.7
blue by 7.6
4917
#23
43.90.3
43.643.9
Auto11.6
Teleop24.5
End7.4