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Red173
494661.4
872931.3
467871.9
Blue162
133429.1
490763.8
406951.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165154120140180200220173162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.90.3
69.569.8
Auto19.4
Teleop43.3
End7.3
red by 8.1
63.80.4
64.464.8
Auto15.7
Teleop38.1
End9.2
Second
61.40.3
58.959.3
Auto15.5
Teleop35.8
End8.8
red by 10.3
51.10.4
51.752.0
Auto14.5
Teleop28.5
End8.2
Third
8729
#25
31.30.3
28.929.2
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End8.9
red by 2.2
1334
#20
29.10.4
29.730.1
Auto8.3
Teleop12.4
End8.6