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Red141
128538.8
468849.6
131049.8
Blue122
61047.8
588530.5
490763.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12814850100200250141122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#11
49.81.2
44.846.0
Auto16.3
Teleop23.5
End9.6
blue by 14.0
63.81.3
57.355.9
Auto15.7
Teleop38.1
End9.2
Second
49.61.2
38.539.7
Auto10.9
Teleop29.8
End8.4
red by 1.8
610
#13
47.81.3
50.048.7
Auto14.2
Teleop24.1
End8.7
Third
1285
#36
38.81.2
39.640.8
Auto12.0
Teleop20.9
End6.0
red by 8.3
5885
#19
30.51.3
29.428.1
Auto9.1
Teleop15.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned