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Red77
270827.4
503627.5
769035.4
Blue125
467871.9
685426.2
747624.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931165015020025077125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7690
#27
35.41.2
31.330.1
Auto10.7
Teleop17.2
End7.0
blue by 36.5
71.91.3
64.765.9
Auto19.4
Teleop43.3
End7.3
Second
5036
#31
27.51.2
27.526.3
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End5.8
red by 1.3
6854
#26
26.21.3
18.519.8
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End8.5
Third
2708
#29
27.41.2
31.129.9
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
red by 3.2
7476
#37
24.21.3
22.723.9
Auto6.7
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned