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Red102
403960.1
270641.9
686428.2
Blue118
201347.6
637827.5
406951.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13212150100150200250102118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.11.3
57.656.2
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End7.2
red by 9.0
51.10.2
43.043.2
Auto14.5
Teleop28.5
End8.2
Second
2706
#22
41.91.3
41.640.3
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End8.3
blue by 5.7
2013
#21
47.60.2
46.746.9
Auto14.2
Teleop26.4
End6.3
Third
6864
#24
28.21.3
22.921.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End7.8
red by 0.7
6378
#33
27.50.2
25.125.3
Auto10.1
Teleop12.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsMissed