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Red132
111458.5
434339.8
876433.3
Blue70
559623.4
491743.9
260950.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261165010015020013270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#17
58.51.0
52.853.8
Auto14.6
Teleop35.5
End8.0
red by 8.3
2609
#14
50.22.7
50.247.6
Auto13.1
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Second
4343
#12
39.81.0
36.637.6
Auto11.8
Teleop22.3
End5.6
blue by 4.1
4917
#23
43.92.7
42.940.2
Auto11.6
Teleop24.5
End7.4
Third
8764
#16
33.31.0
27.728.7
Auto10.0
Teleop16.9
End6.2
red by 9.9
5596
#32
23.42.7
16.914.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsEarned56%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned