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Red146
238631.4
86537.6
490763.8
Blue157
698723.4
467871.9
494661.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11814350100200250146157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.81.5
55.957.4
Auto15.7
Teleop38.1
End9.2
blue by 8.1
71.91.4
65.967.3
Auto19.4
Teleop43.3
End7.3
Second
865
#15
37.61.5
31.232.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.7
End9.1
blue by 23.7
61.41.4
48.149.5
Auto15.5
Teleop35.8
End8.8
Third
2386
#18
31.41.5
26.728.1
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End5.9
red by 8.0
6987
#39
23.41.4
18.019.4
Auto7.2
Teleop10.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsEarned71%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned