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Red87
559623.4
434339.8
588530.5
Blue75
686428.2
270827.4
490355.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821100501001502008775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#12
39.80.4
37.638.0
Auto11.8
Teleop22.3
End5.6
blue by 15.8
55.61.7
47.746.1
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End7.7
Second
5885
#19
30.50.4
28.729.1
Auto9.1
Teleop15.6
End5.9
red by 2.4
6864
#24
28.21.7
21.619.9
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End7.8
Third
5596
#32
23.40.4
14.214.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End6.7
blue by 4.0
2708
#29
27.41.7
30.528.8
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsEarned