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Red139
637827.5
587026.8
468849.6
Blue114
876433.3
128538.8
872931.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96105050150200139114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.62.5
40.543.0
Auto10.9
Teleop29.8
End8.4
red by 10.8
1285
#36
38.81.1
37.838.9
Auto12.0
Teleop20.9
End6.0
Second
6378
#33
27.52.5
25.327.8
Auto10.1
Teleop12.8
End4.5
blue by 5.8
8764
#16
33.31.1
28.729.9
Auto10.0
Teleop16.9
End6.2
Third
5870
#28
26.82.5
25.227.7
Auto9.8
Teleop11.5
End5.8
blue by 4.5
8729
#25
31.31.1
30.631.7
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned