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Red94
685426.2
61047.8
373936.3
Blue114
132567.1
86537.6
686522.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081265015020094114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#13
47.81.3
48.747.4
Auto14.2
Teleop24.1
End8.7
blue by 19.3
67.10.1
63.663.5
Auto16.7
Teleop39.4
End9.6
Second
3739
#38
36.31.3
34.633.2
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.7
blue by 1.3
865
#15
37.60.1
32.732.6
Auto10.8
Teleop17.7
End9.1
Third
6854
#26
26.21.3
20.419.1
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End8.5
red by 3.8
6865
#40
22.40.1
20.320.2
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned