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Red149
769035.4
491743.9
494661.4
Blue152
260950.2
502450.1
406951.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12415250100200149152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.41.9
49.551.4
Auto15.5
Teleop35.8
End8.8
red by 10.3
51.10.8
43.244.1
Auto14.5
Teleop28.5
End8.2
Second
4917
#23
43.91.9
40.242.2
Auto11.6
Teleop24.5
End7.4
blue by 6.3
2609
#14
50.20.8
47.648.4
Auto13.1
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Third
7690
#27
35.41.9
32.134.0
Auto10.7
Teleop17.2
End7.0
blue by 14.7
50.10.8
48.749.5
Auto12.8
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned