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Red129
503627.5
490763.8
131049.8
Blue99
492047.3
772224.6
434339.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14010405020025012999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.80.2
57.457.3
Auto15.7
Teleop38.1
End9.2
red by 16.5
4920
#10
47.30.5
39.839.2
Auto14.1
Teleop24.7
End7.5
Second
1310
#11
49.80.2
45.845.6
Auto16.3
Teleop23.5
End9.6
red by 10.0
4343
#12
39.80.5
38.037.5
Auto11.8
Teleop22.3
End5.6
Third
5036
#31
27.50.2
23.423.2
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End5.8
red by 2.8
7722
#34
24.60.5
24.223.7
Auto11.7
Teleop6.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned