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Red130
270641.9
132567.1
876433.3
Blue154
403960.1
492047.3
491743.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142141110120130150160170130154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.10.0
63.563.5
Auto16.7
Teleop39.4
End9.6
red by 7.0
60.11.3
56.657.8
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End7.2
Second
2706
#22
41.90.0
39.139.1
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End8.3
blue by 5.4
4920
#10
47.31.3
39.240.5
Auto14.1
Teleop24.7
End7.5
Third
8764
#16
33.30.0
29.929.8
Auto10.0
Teleop16.9
End6.2
blue by 10.6
4917
#23
43.91.3
42.243.4
Auto11.6
Teleop24.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned