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Red139
260950.2
490763.8
133429.1
Blue66
503627.5
686522.4
502450.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144925020013966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.80.7
57.357.9
Auto15.7
Teleop38.1
End9.2
red by 13.7
50.11.8
49.547.7
Auto12.8
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Second
2609
#14
50.20.7
48.449.1
Auto13.1
Teleop28.2
End8.7
red by 22.7
5036
#31
27.51.8
23.221.4
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End5.8
Third
1334
#20
29.10.7
23.223.9
Auto8.3
Teleop12.4
End8.6
red by 6.7
6865
#40
22.41.8
20.218.4
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsMissed