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Red131
494661.4
685426.2
772224.6
Blue105
588530.5
128538.8
769035.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99110050150200250300350400131105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.42.1
51.453.6
Auto15.5
Teleop35.8
End8.8
red by 22.6
1285
#36
38.80.8
38.938.1
Auto12.0
Teleop20.9
End6.0
Second
6854
#26
26.22.1
19.121.2
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End8.5
blue by 9.1
7690
#27
35.40.8
34.033.2
Auto10.7
Teleop17.2
End7.0
Third
7722
#34
24.62.1
23.725.8
Auto11.7
Teleop6.2
End6.9
blue by 5.9
5885
#19
30.50.8
29.128.3
Auto9.1
Teleop15.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsMissed