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Red122
238631.4
406951.1
872931.3
Blue92
131049.8
270827.4
559623.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1179240608010014016018012292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.10.7
46.447.1
Auto14.5
Teleop28.5
End8.2
red by 1.3
1310
#11
49.80.2
45.645.5
Auto16.3
Teleop23.5
End9.6
Second
2386
#18
31.40.7
28.128.8
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End5.9
red by 4.0
2708
#29
27.40.2
28.828.6
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
Third
8729
#25
31.30.7
32.433.1
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End8.9
red by 7.9
5596
#32
23.40.2
15.315.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsMissed