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Red129
490355.6
775728.1
86537.6
Blue124
686428.2
132567.1
491743.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10813850150200250129124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.61.3
48.449.7
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End7.7
blue by 11.4
67.10.4
63.563.1
Auto16.7
Teleop39.4
End9.6
Second
865
#15
37.61.3
31.332.6
Auto10.8
Teleop17.7
End9.1
blue by 6.2
4917
#23
43.90.4
43.443.0
Auto11.6
Teleop24.5
End7.4
Third
7757
#30
28.11.3
25.126.4
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End6.3
blue by 0.1
6864
#24
28.20.4
18.418.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsMissed67%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned