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Red149
490763.8
502450.1
637827.5
Blue127
61047.8
111458.5
503627.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14213080100120160180149127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.81.1
57.959.1
Auto15.7
Teleop38.1
End9.2
red by 5.3
1114
#17
58.50.2
52.752.9
Auto14.6
Teleop35.5
End8.0
Second
50.11.1
47.748.8
Auto12.8
Teleop29.5
End7.9
red by 2.4
610
#13
47.80.2
49.749.9
Auto14.2
Teleop24.1
End8.7
Third
6378
#33
27.51.1
26.427.5
Auto10.1
Teleop12.8
End4.5
Level
5036
#31
27.50.2
21.421.6
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
86%Sustainability oddsEarned43%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned