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Red98
403960.1
686522.4
128538.8
Blue133
434339.8
260950.2
747624.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12311505010015020025030098133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.11.1
57.856.7
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End7.2
red by 9.9
2609
#14
50.20.6
49.149.7
Auto13.1
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Second
1285
#36
38.81.1
38.137.0
Auto12.0
Teleop20.9
End6.0
blue by 1.0
4343
#12
39.80.6
37.538.1
Auto11.8
Teleop22.3
End5.6
Third
6865
#40
22.41.1
18.417.3
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End4.1
blue by 1.8
7476
#37
24.20.6
22.523.1
Auto6.7
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsMissed36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned